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ncaa betting tips

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Basic Tips

  • ​NCAA games are emotional, favor home teams some.​

  • Bet against poor teams who won the previous week.

  • Bet against teams playing their third road game in a row.

  • Revenge game: Bet a divisional rival who lost the year before vs. same opponent.

  • Beware of dome teams playing outside in cold weather.

  • Trend toward Washington, Michigan, Penn State, Iowa, Tennessee at home.

  • Bet east coast teams at home when playing west coast teams.

  • Beware betting Notre Dame who's fans bet them blindly, driving up the line.

  • Beware betting against teams playing poorly last week, teams rebound.​

  • Beware interstate game favorites, these rivalries can be bitter regardless of talent.​

  • Bet teams who lost the previous week by 21+ unless a top 20 team is involved.

  • Bet against teams who won the previous week by 21+ unless a top 20 team involved.

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Exotics Betting

  • Avoid Tease bets, an extra 6 points in high scoring NCAA is not much.

  • Bet Moneyline (betting to win) underdogs in 4 points or less games.

  • The Moneyline strategy above is favorable for Parlay bets (bet two or three teams to win).

  • Don't bet Futures longshots to win the National Title, this isn't March Madness.​

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Statistics Based Tips

  • Bet teams with high points per play (PPP).

  • Bet teams with high Efficiency Ratings (% of yards gained per down for a 1st down).

  • Bet teams with high Finishing Ratings (points scored rating when inside the 40 yard line).

  • ​Bet teams with a high average starting field position.

  • Bet teams with a high turnover margin.

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