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Our 2024 Bets

  • NCAA Tournament: North Carolina, 16-1

  • NCAA Tournament: Auburn, 25-1 (loss)

  • NCAA Tournament Final 4: Auburn, +550 (loss)

  • NCAA Mtn West Conf Champ: Nevada, 5-1 (loss)

  • NCAA Baseball Champ: Clemson, 28-1..

  • .Stanley Cup: Colorado, 10-1

  • NHL East Conf: Boston, +450

  • NHL Presidents Cup: Toronto, 8-1.

  • MLB: Texas under 89 1/2 wins.

  • MLB: Minnesota over 86 1/2.

  • MLB: St. Louis over 84 1/2 wins.

  • MLB: San Francisco over 83 1.2.

  • MLB Most Home Runs: V. Guerrero, 22-1.

  • MLB NL Cy Young: E. Perez, 40-1.

  • MLB AL Cy Young: C. Ragans, 20-1.

  • MLB Most Strikeouts: C. Ragans, 25-1.

  • NFL Offense POY: S. Barkley, 30-1

  • NCAA Football Champ: Ole Miss, 15-1.

  • 4 Team Champs Parlay: Celtics, Avs, Phillies, 49ers, 3368-1

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Super Bowl LIX Bet Picks

Using History as a Criteria:

  • Avoid teams with pre-season odds greater than 22-1, they've won only 7 off 47 times (15%) from 1977-2024 and only 5 of 41 (12%) from 1983-2023.

  • A great sweet spot is teams from 10-1 to 16-1, they've won 15 of 47 times (32%) from 1977 to 2023..

  • Another sweet spot is teams between 10-1 and 22-1, winning 19 0f 47 times (40%) from 1977 to 2023.

  • 30 of 34 teams (88%) that won had preseason projected wins of 9.5 or over (based on a 17-game season).

Our Best Bets:

  • Baltimore +950

  • Buffalo 10-1

  • Detroit 12-1

  • Cincinnati 13-1

  • Green Bay 19-1

  • Philadelphia 20-1

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Recent Underdogs

  • Won 11 of last 21 games outright 52%

  • Covered the spread in 13 of the last 17 and 17 of the last 23

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Preseason Odds Tips

  • Avoid teams with pre-season odds greater than 22-1, they've won only 7 off 47 times (15%) from 1977-2024 and only 5 of 41 (12%) from 1983-2023.

  • A great sweet spot is teams from 10-1 to 16-1, they've won 15 of 47 times (32%) from 1977 to 2023..

  • Another sweet spot is teams between 10-1 and 22-1, winning 19 0f 47 times (40%) from 1977 to 2023.

  • 30 of 34 teams (88%) that won had preseason projected wins of 9.5 or over (based on a 17-game season).

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Spread Favorites

Super Bowl point spread favorites win 66% of the time but fail recently versus the spread:

  • Win-loss record all-time: 38-20

  • Versus the spread all-time: 29-27-2

  • Since 2000 versus spread: 6-17, 26%

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Game Longshots

Super Bowl underdogs by 10 points or more have won a remarkable 36% of games.

  •  Win-Loss record: 5-9

  •  Versus the spread: 6-7-1​

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Our Early Bet Picks

Spring 2024 Best Bets

Senior Analysts

Pete - Ravens, 9-1

Nate -

"Showtime" - Ravens, 9-1

Reed - 

Kevin - Texans, 16-1

Evan - 

"Shark" - 

Special Situations Analysts

"Hammer" - Packers, 19-1

Chris P. - 

Tyler - 

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Defending Champs

Super Bowl champs record of repeating the following year as champs:

  • Teams repeated 9 times all-time in 57 tries or only 16%, twice in 24 times since 2000 or only 8%.

  • No team has won 3 in a row.

  • Losing Super Bowl teams returned the following year only 7 times in 57 or 12%.

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